ACHTUNG! Bitcoin & Aktienmarkt senden extremes Signal! [84 % TREFFERQUOTE]

Summary

In this video, Natalie dives into the current state of both traditional markets and the crypto world, highlighting the potential for a major fakeout. She discusses the historical bullish trends of the S&P 500, potential short squeezes in the crypto market, and Bitcoin's current price action. Additionally, she covers Ethereum's technical and fundamental outlook, including large institutional inflows. Natalie also warns about the growing risks of real-life attacks on crypto holders and stresses the importance of using a VPN for online security. With insights into market movements and safety, this video is essential for crypto enthusiasts.

Takeaways

• 😀 The S&P 500 has seen over 20% gains in just two months, historically followed by a 30-40% increase in the next year, suggesting potential for continued growth in the crypto market.
• 😀 Bitcoin's correlation with traditional markets points to the possibility of a major price movement, likely starting soon.
• 😀 A trendline analysis suggests Bitcoin could see a 10% move upward after breaking through the all-time high, aligning with historical market patterns.
• 😀 Historical data shows that when June is positive, market peaks often occur later in the year, supporting the expectation of future gains in the crypto market.
• 😀 A significant liquidation cluster exists above Bitcoin, indicating the potential for a short squeeze if liquidity is cleared.
• 😀 A price retracement is possible before further upward movement, as gaps below the current price could be filled before resuming growth.
• 😀 Bollinger Bands are converging, signaling potential volatility, with upward expansion expected as long as Bitcoin stays above the midrange.
• 😀 Ethereum is showing strong technical and fundamental signs, with a Golden Cross forming that could lead to significant price gains, as seen in past occurrences.
• 😀 On-chain data reveals strong institutional interest and whale accumulation in Ethereum, indicating continued bullish sentiment.
• 😀 The importance of using a VPN is emphasized to protect against online and real-world threats, as crypto holders face increasing security risks.
• 😀 Crypto scams are evolving beyond online threats to real-life attacks, highlighting the need for better privacy protection and awareness.

Q & A

What is the main concern presented in the video regarding the current market rally?

The main concern is the possibility of a major fakeout happening in the market, despite the current all-time high and strong gains. The speaker suggests that there could be a significant movement building up beneath the surface that most investors are overlooking.

How does the S&P 500's performance relate to the crypto market in the video?

The S&P 500 has gained over 20% in two months, which historically signals a bullish trend. This performance is being used as an indicator to suggest that the crypto market, particularly Bitcoin, could be at the beginning of a larger movement, mirroring the S&P 500's behavior.

What statistical data does the speaker reference to argue that the market top has not yet been reached?

The speaker references data dating back to 1980, which shows that when June is positive, a market top has never been reached in the same month. The peak typically occurs later in the year, often in the fourth quarter.

What is a key indicator the speaker uses to predict potential future market movements?

The speaker uses the concept of liquidation clusters, observing a large number of short positions above the market. This could lead to a short squeeze if the market clears this liquidity, pushing prices higher.

What is the significance of the Bullinger Bands in the analysis of Bitcoin's price?

The Bullinger Bands are converging, which indicates potential volatility. The speaker compares this to a stretched spring, suggesting that Bitcoin's price could either move up or down once the bands' pressure is released. Staying above the midrange is viewed as a positive sign for upward movement.

What does the speaker say about the state of altcoins and the total market excluding Bitcoin?

Altcoins have struggled to break above the 50% mark in the total market cap excluding Bitcoin, which has contributed to recent losses. However, the speaker is hopeful for a potential rally, particularly if a double bottom forms and the market breaks the 50% resistance.

How does the Golden Cross correlate with potential market movements for altcoins?

The Golden Cross, where the short-term moving average crosses above the long-term moving average, has historically been a precursor to strong upward movements in altcoins. The speaker notes that the total market and Ethereum are both likely to experience Golden Crosses, signaling potential rallies.

What are the potential price increases after a Golden Cross for Ethereum, according to historical data?

Historically, Ethereum has seen significant price increases after a Golden Cross. Past increases have ranged from 40% to over 2400%, with an average of around 77%. This suggests that Ethereum could see substantial gains, potentially surpassing the $4000 mark.

What on-chain data does the speaker present to support optimism about Ethereum's future?

The speaker highlights that Ethereum has seen the largest inflows of on-chain assets in the past 24 hours, along with substantial whale activity, where whales have been accumulating Ethereum at rates not seen since 2018.

What security advice does the speaker give to protect against scams and hacking?

The speaker advises using hardware wallets, such as a Ledger, to protect cryptocurrencies. Additionally, using a VPN is recommended to protect personal information online, as it can prevent hackers from linking a user's identity to their crypto holdings. The speaker also warns about real-life attacks on crypto holders.